Kagan, Y. Y., and L. Knopoff, "Statistical short-term earthquake prediction", Science, 236, 1563-1567, 1987: TEXT from JSTOR -- you should have access to that

PDF file -- 1.25 Mb

PS file, JSTOR text -- 1.5 Mb

PS file, 1.5 Mb, the paper text only

Original TEDI text of the paper

One of FORTRAN programs used for prediction

FORTRAN subroutines to include in some of above programs

28. Kagan, Y. Y., 1991. Likelihood analysis of earthquake catalogues, Geophys. J. Int., 106, 135-148.

62. Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, "Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes", Geophys. J. Int., 143, 438-453, 2000.