Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, 2000. Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, (Leon Knopoff's Festschrift), Geophys. J. Int., 143, 438-453

Manuscript text (in plain TeX)
Manuscript text (in PostScript)
Manuscript GJI text (in GJI LaTeX)
Manuscript GJI text (in PostScript)
Its figures (in PostScript): Fig. 1; Fig. 2a; Fig. 2b; Fig. 3; Fig. 4ab (color); Fig. 4cd (color); Fig. 4ef (color); Fig. 4ab (grey); Fig. 4cd (grey); Fig. 4ef (grey); Fig. 5; Fig. 6; Fig. 7; Fig. 8a (color); Fig. 8b (color); Fig. 8a (grey); Fig. 8b (grey); Fig. 9; Fig. 10.

My publications and manuscripts on the same or similar topics, available on Web:
Kagan and Knopoff, Proc. 8-th Int. Conf. Earthq. Eng., vol. 1, 295, 1984;
Kagan and Knopoff, Science, 236, 1563, 1987;
Molchan and Kagan, JGR, 97, 4823, 1992;
Kagan and Jackson, JGR, 99, 13,685, 1994;
Jackson and Kagan, Seism. Res. Lett., 70, 393, 1999;
"EARTHQUAKES: SCIENCE AND HAZARD REDUCTION", 2002 NATO Arbus book components".
FORTRAN codes and catalog files used to create daily forecast updates

Publication files:
